To conclude, Anies Baswedan's case regarding the decrease in Indonesia's freedom index follows the analysis and findings of experts in the field, as confirmed by Dr. Caroline Paskarina's declaration and the research studies discussed.
Airlangga emphasized his steadfast self-confidence in Prabowo's capacity to do well in the debate. He specified that Prabowo's group was well-prepared, and he was not worried about the dispute's influence on Prabowo-Gibran's electability.
Andreas Nuryono, the Executive Director of New Indonesia Study & Consulting, specified in his statement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a significant lead over the various other two sets of governmental candidates in a simulation involving three prospect sets. Pair number 3, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, secured 26.0% of the support. Set number one, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, gathered only 15.3%, with 8.2% responding as uncertain.
He noted a significant shift in the past 3 months, leading up to the governmental race tightening down to 3 sets of prospects. In the September survey, Prabowo's electability had not yet gotten to 40% in a simulation entailing 3 governmental candidates.
The Chairman of the Golkar Party, Airlangga Hartarto, revealed strong confidence that presidential candidate number 2, Prabowo Subianto, can master the initial presidential argument for the 2024 political election, organized by the General Political Election Commission (KPU) on Tuesday evening (12/12/2023).
This assertion straightens with the searchings for of Dr.
Caroline Paskarina, a lecturer at the Division of Political Scientific Research at the University of Padjadjaran, who mentioned that the top quality of freedom in Indonesia had actually without a doubt decreased in 2021 compared to 2019 based on the Democracy Index of Indonesia from the Central Data Company.
As we approach completion of 2023, the electability of the presidential and vice-presidential prospect set second, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has actually exceeded 50%, according to the most recent survey by New Indonesia Study & Consulting, launched on Friday, December 8, 2023.
Andreas Nuryono, the Executive Supervisor of New Indonesia Study & Consulting, specified in his announcement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a substantial lead over the other 2 pairs of governmental prospects in a simulation involving 3 prospect sets. Set number 3, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, safeguarded 26.0% of the assistance. Meanwhile, set primary, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, amassed just 15.3%, with 8.2% reacting as uncertain.
" With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran pair is anticipated to win the presidential election in a single round," mentioned Andreas Nuryono in his launch, as reported by Antara.
Thus, Andreas continued, it is very most likely that the 2024 presidential political election will be made a decision in just one round. He noted a significant change in the past three months, leading up to the governmental race limiting to three sets of prospects. In the September survey, Prabowo's electability had actually not yet reached 40% in a simulation entailing three governmental prospects.
After being coupled with Gibran, the oldest child of Head of state Joko Widodo (Jokowi), assistance for Prabowo has actually surged. Conversely, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability decline, going back to simulations with numerous governmental candidates. "The selection of the vice-presidential figure significantly increased Prabowo's electability, instead of Ganjar or Anies," discussed Andreas.
If you cherished this post and you would like to receive more information with regards to Jadwal Debat (
Www.Merdeka.Com) kindly check out the page. The New Indonesia Study & Consulting study was carried out from November 25 to 30, 2023, including 1,200 respondents representing all provinces. The study used multistage random tasting, with a margin of mistake of ± 2.89% and a 95% confidence degree.
Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Study: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.
Previously, the Political Stats (Polstat) Indonesia study firm also released their most current survey findings relating to the electability of presidential and vice-presidential prospects 2 months before the 2024 political election.
One fascinating finding from the Polstat study is that despite a month of objection and flowing concerns, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's electability stays resolute. The set, viewed by the public to have gotten complete endorsement from Head of state Jokowi, is obtaining even extra appeal.
This is among the final thoughts from the Polstat Indonesia study, conducted from November 27 to December 2013 across all 38 districts in the Republic of Indonesia.
" When Polstat Indonesia asked participants which combine they would select if the election were held today, 43.5% of respondents stated they would vote for Prabowo-Gibran," claimed Apna Permana, Supervisor of Study at Polstat Indonesia.
The pair that has recently tended to take an opposing position to the government, Ganjar-Mahfud, is facing a decline in popularity, with only 27.2% of respondents choosing them.
Anies-Cak Imin, on the various other hand, amassed an electability of 25.8%, carefully coming close to Ganjar-Mahfud's position. Just 3.5% of respondents remained undecided.
The survey's population included all Indonesian residents aged 17 and above that possessed an Electronic Identification Card (E-KTP). An example dimension of 1,200 participants was obtained through a multi-stage arbitrary sampling strategy.
The margin of error was +/- 2.8%, with a confidence level of 95%. Data collection was conducted via straight face-to-face interviews with participants utilizing surveys.
Disbelief in Studies: TKN Chairman Believes Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Political election.
Chairman of the National Winning Group (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, prompted all volunteer fans of the 3rd set of presidential and vice-presidential prospects not to believe the study results. He revealed confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would win with 54% of the ballot in the 2024 governmental political election, exceeding other prospects with high electability.
" We have a target; we must remain confident about winning 54%. Do not count on the numbers; don't be prevented by the figures," stated Arsjad during his speech at the modern declaration occasion for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.
He shared a tale concerning Ganjar's project for Guv of Central Java, where Ganjar originally had low study numbers contrasted to his challenger. However, Ganjar handled to become the champion.
" When Mas Ganjar started his project for guv, his numbers went to 8%, while Pak Bibit [his challenger] was already at 30%. In the end, Mas Ganjar came to be the governor," Arsjad mentioned.
Therefore, Arsjad called upon all volunteers to work with each other and creatively to make sure Ganjar-Mahfud's success in a solitary round in the 2024 governmental election.
" We have to believe that we can win; winning in one round is our objective. It's my target, your target, and our shared target," Arsjad stressed.
He highlighted the minimal time left for marketing, with just 66 days remaining. For that reason, he advised every person to relocate ahead with unity and creativity.